Comparative country risk scores for over 75 nations are provided in this section. SA Risk Scores are based on IMF and country data for October-December 2016. The concepts and methodology are described in the Tab:  "How Country Risk is Measured."  Individual country details are shown in  "Risk Scores by Sector."

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Overall Risk Rankings

Low Risk:
Switzerland (1.8)  Hong Kong  (1.8)  Netherlands (2.2)   
Germany (2.2)  Canada (2.4)   USA (2.6)   Australia (2.6)   Korea (2.7)  Japan (2.8)   UK (2.8)   ​New Zealand (3.3)   France (3.3)   China (3.4)  

Medium Risk:
Malaysia (3.5)  Spain (3.7)   Thailand (3.8)   Italy (3.9)
Poland (4.2)   Saudi Arabia (4.3)   Brazil (4.5)   Mexico (4.5)
Romania (4.5)   Russia (4.6)   Philippines (4.6)
Turkey (5.2)   South Africa (5.3)   Indonesia (5.4)  India (5.6)  
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High Risk:
Argentina (6.0)    Kenya (6.5)   Ghana (6.6)   Egypt (6.8)  Nigeria (6.9)
​Ukraine (7.2)   Venezuela (7.5) 

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Biggest Changes Year over Year​​

Lower Risk Countries
Modest realignment among G-7 countries. Deterioration in UK due to Brexit vote, and in France on fiscal and banking fronts.

Medium Risk Countries
Political crisis abates in Brazil, but fiscal deficits remain a serious concern.  Russian imbalances narrow with higher oil prices, and prospect of softening Western sanctions. Rising political concerns in Poland and South Africa.  Chronic external risks in Turkey; fiscal worries in India.
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High Risk Countries
Argentina showing gradual recovery after resolution of foreign debt issues. Egypt seeks IMF support to stabilize currency / external accounts. Ukraine's problems deepen with ongoing war in East and limited reforms. Venezuela approaches hyperinflation, hoarding, loss of political control.

Current Risks in Systemically Important Countries

G-20+ Risk Scores

Global Trends in Risk

global risk outlook 2017

Comparisons of
​ 75 Countries 

Overall Risk Scores