Country Risk -- How to Create Scores
  • Country Risk Scores
    • SA Country Risk Scores (December 2016)
    • Risk Scores by Sector (December 2016)
    • "Heat Maps" of G-20+ Countries
    • Case Study: Brazil 2016
  • Traditional Country Risk
    • Economic Structure & Trends
    • Political Risk and Payment Performance
    • Global Environment
    • Capital Flows and Funding Risk
  • Build Your Own System
    • Selecting Variables
    • Countries and Data
    • Weighting Risks & Creating Scores
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Risks Embedded in Structures and Sectors
Structural Risks are rooted in the Level of Economic Development and Quality of Governance of each country. These are medium-to-long term characteristics. They are central to Country Risk affecting a country's capacity to grow, meet the needs of its population, adopt constructive economic policies, and service its external obligations.  

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Sectoral Risks are ones that arise in key areas of an economy, particularly Banking, Public Finance, and External Finance.  Historically, these areas are most vulnerable to sudden shocks or major disruptions.   Polices in these sectors affect overall growth, sector performance, and a country's ability  to leverage its natural endowments.  Sector risk scores send out "early warnings signals" of a country's increasing risk.  Data for each indicator are drawn from IMF and official sources between October-December 2016.  The Tab  "How Country Risk is Measured" explains the concepts behind and construction of these risk scores.
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Structural Risks
​by Country
ECONOMIC strenths, vulnerabilities and Political risks:

ASIA​
​
wESTERN EUROPE

​CENTRAL & EAST EUROPE

mID-EAST & aFRICA

aMERICAS

Countries with Highest Risk in Economic Sectors

Fiscal
Ukraine (7.3)  Slovenia (6.7) ​Hungary (6.5) Croatia (6.3)  Slovak Rep (6.0)  Portugal (6.0) Uruguay (6.0)  Argentina (5.7)  France (5.5)  
​
Banking & Financial
South Africa (7.3) Lithuania (6.5)  India (6.8) Kazakhstan (6.3) France (6.0)  Denmark (6.0)  Mexico (5.8)   Greece (5.8) Italy (5.1) 

External
New Zealand (6.2)  Kazakh (6.3)  Egypt (7.5)
Ukraine (6.0) Turkey (6.0)  Colombia ( 7.2)
​Greece (5.7)  Australia (5.7)
South Africa (5.8) 


Macro Trend Risk
Venezuela (9.0) Ukraine (7.8)  Argentina (7.2) 
Turkey (5.8)   Brazil (6.3)   South Africa (6.5
)   

Sectoral Risks by Region

Asia
WESTERN Europe
central & EAST EUROPE
AmericaS
MIDEAST & AFRICA
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  • Country Risk Scores
    • SA Country Risk Scores (December 2016)
    • Risk Scores by Sector (December 2016)
    • "Heat Maps" of G-20+ Countries
    • Case Study: Brazil 2016
  • Traditional Country Risk
    • Economic Structure & Trends
    • Political Risk and Payment Performance
    • Global Environment
    • Capital Flows and Funding Risk
  • Build Your Own System
    • Selecting Variables
    • Countries and Data
    • Weighting Risks & Creating Scores
  • About US
    • Client Services
    • Contact Us